Sweet Sixteen Betting Trends: The Under has cashed at a 61.7% rate in the Sweet Sixteen dating back to 2016, with 37 of the last 60 games in the third round of March Madness going under the betting total. While the Over has been hot as of late, cashing in 10 of 16 games in round two, the historical trends point to the Under in the second week of the tournament.
The Under went 3-1 on day one of the Round of 16 in the 2024 NCAA Tournament
The betting underdog in the NCAA tournament started hot, winning 14 of the first 36 March Madness games played. However, round two saw the betting favourite go on a 15-1 straight-up betting run, with the chalk side covering 11 of 16 games in the second round of the 2024 NCAA men’s basketball tournament. Now, with the underdog cashing in three of the first four games of the Sweet Sixteen, we go back to the well for some of the most profitable historic Sweet Sixteen betting trends.
Scroll down to learn more about the best Sweet Sixteen betting trends before making your March Madness betting picks for this week.
Sweet Sixteen Betting Trends: Unders 1x6e40
Dating back to the start of the 2016 NCAA tournament, the betting Under has cashed at a 61.7% rate, going 37-23 in that stretch. If we look at more recent data we see this betting trend become even more probable, with the Under cashing in 23 of the last 36 Sweet Sixteen games since 2019.
With the Under going 3-1 on day one of the Sweet Sixteen, a $100 bettor who has backed in the Under in every Sweet Sixteen game since the start of the 2016 tournament has now earned +$1070 overall, a net profit of +$18 per game, win or lose.
Unders in the Sweet Sixteen 4x2x2p
| YTD | Record | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Since 2016 | 37-23 | 61.7% |
Sweet Sixteen Betting Trends: Underdogs ATS 3m5o25
While the betting favourite went on an unprecedented tare in the second half of week one of the 2024 NCAA tournament, there is still hope for the betting underdog to turn the tables in the next few rounds of the competition, as exemplified with three of four betting underdogs cashing in day one of the Sweet Sixteen. In fact, since last year’s tournament, the betting underdog won outright in 9 of 16 games played across the Sweet Sixteen and Elite Eight, with the underdog winning outright in 6 of 12 Sweet Sixteen games, so far, since 2023.
Since 2018, the betting underdog in the Sweet Sixteen has managed to cover the spread in 55% of games played, going 25-19 ATS in that stretch.
Betting Underdogs in the Sweet Sixteen 726c1c
| YTD | ATS Record | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Since 2018 | 25-19 | 56.8% |
While the betting underdog tends to be a hit-or-miss play against the spread in the first few rounds of the NCAA tournament, historical data shows that the underdog tends to win more games in the second half of the tournament. Dating back to 2016, the betting underdog against the spread has cashed at a 59% rate from the start of the Elite Eight on, going 29-19-1 in that stretch. With this in mind, keep your eyes on decent mid-tier teams in week two of the 2024 NCAA tournament.
March Madness Betting In Canada 6kz66
As Purdue faces off against Gonzaga in the Sweet Sixteen of the 2024 NCAA men’s basketball tournament, two Canadians stand in the spotlight, ready to showcase their talents on a grand stage. Zach Edey, a towering seven-foot-four center hailing from Toronto, has led Purdue with his remarkable scoring and rebounding abilities. On the opposite end, Ryan Nembhard, a junior point guard from Aurora, Ontario, known for his exceptional playmaking skills, represents Gonzaga. This matchup not only highlights the pivotal role Canadians are playing in the tournament but also pits two of the nation’s finest against each other in a highly anticipated showdown.
For the best top betting apps in Canada to make your picks on the 2024 NCAA tournament, keep it locked to CanadaSportsBetting throughout the entire tournament.